Chengyuan Zhang

Postdoctoral Researcher, McGill University — Bayesian learning, trustworthy AI, and driver world models for multi-agent traffic systems.

I am a Postdoctoral Researcher in Civil Engineering at McGill University, working with Prof. Lijun Sun. I received my Ph.D. from the same group in 2026, and my B.Eng. in Vehicle Engineering from Chongqing University in 2019. I was also a visiting researcher at Carnegie Mellon University with Prof. Changliu Liu in 2023 and Prof. Ding Zhao in 2018, and at UC Berkeley with Prof. Masayoshi Tomizuka from 2019 to 2020.

My research builds trustworthy AI for multi-agent traffic systems, combining Bayesian statistics with generative models to create interpretable driver world models that capture the stochasticity of human behavior — a statistically grounded path toward safe, reliable autonomous systems.

Currently. My postdoctoral work continues along three threads: stochastic modeling of human social behaviors, dynamic interaction modeling (drivers and pedestrians), and Bayesian approaches to trustworthy, cognitively grounded world models. I’m always glad to hear from people working on related problems — write to me at enzozcy@gmail.com, or browse my CV.

Traffic Flow Theory & Simulation

Multi-Agent Social Interactions & Driver World Model

Spatiotemporal Data & Interpretable Patterns

  • Markov Regime-Switching Intelligent Driver Model for Interpretable Car-Following Behavior (arXiv: 2506.14762)
  • Discovering dynamic patterns from spatiotemporal data with time-varying low-rank autoregression (IEEE TKDE)
  • Forecasting sparse movement speed of urban road networks with nonstationary temporal matrix factorization (Transportation Science)

Robust Uncertainty & Trustworthy AI

  • When Context Is Not Enough: Modeling Unexplained Variability in Car-Following Behavior (ISTTT26)
  • Active Simulation-Based Inference for Scalable Car-Following Model Calibration (arXiv: 2602.05246)

Selected Publications

Bayesian IDM calibration
Bayesian Calibration of the Intelligent Driver Model Chengyuan Zhang, Lijun Sun — IEEE T-ITS (2023) code video
Spatiotemporal lane change
Spatiotemporal Learning of Multi-Vehicle Interaction Patterns in Lane-Change Scenarios Chengyuan Zhang, Jiacheng Zhu, Wenshuo Wang, Junqiang Xi — IEEE T-ITS (2021) code demo project

News

  • 07/2026 I am delighted to give a talk "Beyond White Noise: What Naturalistic Data Reveal About Memory, Heterogeneity, and Latent Regimes in Car-Following" at Chair of Econometrics and Statistics, TU Dresden (invited by Dr. Martin Treiber).
  • 05/2026 I am delighted to share that I successfully defended my PhD thesis, From Micro Interactions to Traffic Flow: Stochastic Driver Models for Realistic Traffic Simulation, at McGill University. Sincere thanks to my advisor Prof. Lijun Sun, my committee, and everyone who supported me along the way.
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    Interactive Demo
    An in-browser simulator visualizing car-following dynamics, stop-and-go waves, and how driver heterogeneity emerges on a circular road — a playground for the models behind my research.
    FRQNT
    IVADO
    Mitacs
    CIRRELT